Polling

Pollsters could have got it wrong on the Scottish independence referendum

15 September 2014 15:23

As the political nation waits with bated breath for the Scottish referendum result, the polls are dictating the mood. One…

A new poll shows the Scots referendum is going right to the wire

12 September 2014 13:27

ICM’s poll has ‘no’ ahead, but only just– it’s 51-49. The ICM poll is a telephone one so both phone and internet polls…

Lord Ashcroft’s poll shows a swing to Labour in Tory-held marginal seats

20 August 2014 16:31

One of the most fascinating things about Lord Ashcroft’s latest poll is not its content, but who in the Conservative…

Proof that the Liberal Democrats are a party of ninnies

30 June 2014 16:44

I know that it is unfashionable to feel sorry for Liberal Democrat MPs. Nevertheless there are times when, contemplating their…

Tories set to take a dozen seats from Lib Dems in 2015

19 June 2014 18:03

How many seats will the Conservatives take from the Lib Dems at the next election? According to Lord Ashcroft’s latest…

Video: can Labour solve its Miliband problem?

18 June 2014 14:54

Ed Miliband’s popularity ratings have sunk below those of Nick Clegg this week, so what can Labour do? In this…

Tories on course to win Newark by-election, says Ashcroft poll

2 June 2014 17:27

The Tories are looking ever more likely to hold Newark in Thursday’s by-election. In a new poll from Lord Ashcroft…

The Newark by-election might not be a disaster for Labour

30 May 2014 16:57

Will Labour do well in the Newark by-election? While all the focus has been on the fight between the Tories…

Briefing: what you need to know about that leaked Lib Dem poll

27 May 2014 14:46

Will Nick Clegg hold onto his Sheffield Hallam seat next year? No, according to internal Lib Dem polling which has…

Five things you need to know about Lord Ashcroft’s latest polling

24 May 2014 21:45

Labour is on course to win the next general election, according to Lord Ashcroft. In two polls — one of…

Where might Nigel Farage stand ‘south of the river’ in 2015?

23 May 2014 16:27

Nigel Farage has told BBC News this afternoon he intends to stand in a seat ‘south of the river’ at…

Today’s Westminster projections show that Labour is not in a comfortable place

23 May 2014 16:14

We now have both the BBC’s projected national vote share and Sky’s Westminster projection of what this result would mean…

Euro elections 2014: final polls put Ukip in first place

22 May 2014 10:27

The final two polls are out on today’s European elections; both of which put Ukip in first place. YouGov, whose…

Scotching a myth: Scotland is not as left-wing as you think it is

21 May 2014 11:58

Alex Salmond and David Cameron have more in common than a shared appreciation for Andy Murray’s tennis. Not, of course,…

Ukip vs Tories vs Labour — how alike are the voters?

20 May 2014 9:31

How similar are Ukip and Tory voters? Although the party hierarchies are keen to distance themselves from each other, there’s…

Labour falling behind as Ukip leads latest Euro poll

12 May 2014 17:34

Labour is failing to make up any ground on Ukip ahead of next week’s European elections. A new poll from…

Ukip faces its toughest test yet over the next 12 months

5 May 2014 14:30

The European election creeps closer and the smart money has switched from Labour to Ukip topping the poll. A Labour…

Who could win the Newark by-election?

29 April 2014 19:00

Who stands the best chance of winning the Newark by-election after Patrick Mercer’s resignation? It is a safe Conservative seat,…

Ukip on course to come first in the Euro elections

27 April 2014 20:00

Despite a week of rather bruising media coverage, Ukip has moved into first place for next month’s European elections. For…

The 2015 battleground: the UK’s top 10 most marginal seats

25 April 2014 17:35

With the Tories trailing just behind Labour in the opinion polls, predictions are rife that the 2015 general election will…