Polling

Election podcast special: four days to go

3 May 2015 19:26

In today’s election special podcast, James Forsyth, Isabel Hardman and I attempt to explain why Ed Miliband unveiled a stone…

Lord Ashcroft’s final marginal polling shows how tight the election remains

1 May 2015 22:24

Lord Ashcroft has released his final marginal polls before the election, looking at ten marginal seats in England and Scotland.…

Has the Tory crossover in the polls finally arrived?

30 April 2015 16:27

As election day nears, the number of polls appearing is rapidly increasing. But it still remains very tight and the movements…

Nigel Farage and Nick Clegg still locked in tight battles to win their seats

29 April 2015 17:47

Will there be a Portillo moment on election night with any of the party leaders? Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage…

Ukip struggling in key target seats

27 April 2015 20:50

Ukip is expected to do well in a handful of seats, but where? Lord Ashcroft has polled four marginal seats…

Tories six points ahead in new Ashcroft poll and three points ahead according to ICM

27 April 2015 16:55

Two new polls out today have the Tories ahead. Lord Ashcroft’s latest national poll says the Conservatives currently have a…

Tories are doing well in key marginals — but Ukip is on the edge

25 April 2015 13:55

Lord Ashcroft has released his latest round of marginal polling, looking at some of the constituencies vital to the Conservatives’ hopes…

Who is rallying behind Ed Miliband: the undecided voters or Labour supporters?

24 April 2015 17:00

As polling day nears, everyone is trying to work out which way undecided voters will break. Contrary to what many…

Tories in the lead according to ICM and Lord Ashcroft

20 April 2015 16:45

The Conservatives are ahead once again in the latest Guardian/ICM poll. They are two points ahead on 34 per cent…

No. That poll didn’t put Ed ahead in the Prime Minister stakes.

17 April 2015 19:30

An hour and a half watching Ed Miliband debate four people who are not going to be Prime Minister. That…

Jim Murphy, Douglas Alexander and Charles Kennedy set to lose seats as SNP march continues

17 April 2015 17:47

Labour’s efforts to stem the nationalist tide in Scotland aren’t working. Lord Ashcroft has polled eight marginals north of the border…

Exclusive: Where the next generation of MPs think the burden of cuts should fall

16 April 2015 16:16

What do the next generation of MPs think with regards to public services, government spending and taxes? Coffee House has…

New poll shows Tories will benefit from Lib Dem collapse in South West

15 April 2015 20:08

The Liberal Democrats are facing wipeout in their South Western heartlands. According to a new poll from ComRes/ITV News conducted…

Tories are consolidating while Labour are extending leads in key marginals

14 April 2015 16:14

Lord Ashcroft has released his latest round of polling, looking at ten competitive Tory-Labour seats. In all of the constituencies, Ashcroft…

Tories six points ahead in new Guardian/ICM poll — but Ashcroft has the main parties tied

13 April 2015 16:00

The Guardian declared last Friday was ‘the day the polls turned’ — but they have turned again, it seems. ICM has released…

Podcast special: polls and personal attacks

9 April 2015 23:58

With 28 days to go, is the momentum beginning to move towards Labour? In this View from 22 podcast special, Fraser…

Three new polls put Labour ahead

9 April 2015 20:44

Three new polls out today have put Labour ahead of the Tories. At a time when the Conservatives are firing…

Campaign kick-off: 28 days to go

9 April 2015 9:56

Trident is set to be the big issue today — but the fight isn’t just about policy. Several newspapers have…

Ukip may be slipping in the polls but it will still have a big impact on the election

7 April 2015 18:10

Is the Ukip bandwagon slowing down? Today’s Sun reports that Ukip has lost a quarter of its voters since November, from an…

A shocking Scottish opinion poll reveals that Labour aren’t dead yet

1 April 2015 10:51

When is a disaster also a miracle? When it allows Scottish Labour to simultaneously endure its worst result since 1931 and…

Two more polls suggest Ed Miliband’s ‘Paxo bounce’ is sliding away

30 March 2015 23:56

Ed Miliband’s so-called ‘Paxo bounce’ in the opinion polls is ebbing away. The polls out this evening have the Conservatives either…

First poll of the campaign puts the Tories four points ahead

30 March 2015 13:56

And we’re off! Today is the first day of the proper general election campaign and the rollercoaster of polls continues.…

Still no lead: Tories and Labour tied in two new polls

23 March 2015 23:51

Two polls out today have the Conservatives and Labour neck and neck, while another has Labour ahead by two points. Lord…

Another poll suggests Labour wipeout in Scotland

23 March 2015 12:14

Will the SNP eviscerate Scottish Labour? A new poll from the Guardian/ICM today suggests once again that the SNP is…

Could the Tories do a deal with the SNP? (Yes they could)

23 March 2015 11:50

We have been here before, you know. Seven years ago Alex Salmond looked forward to the prospect of a hung…