opinion polls

Leave six points ahead in latest phone poll

16 June 2016 9:36

Fraser Nelson and Nick Cohen discuss The Spectator’s decision to back Brexit: The Ipsos MORI phone poll released this morning…

Test pollsters through encouraging competition, not through knee-jerk reactions

18 June 2015 17:55

We can all agree that the 2015 General Election was not the pollsters’ finest moment. While final polls from ComRes…

This election will be decided by the undecideds

26 April 2015 13:49

The polls could hardly be closer than they are at the moment and the parliamentary arithmetic looks like it is…

Main parties seem rather old and tired, say voters

20 March 2015 15:41

Perhaps there’s nothing wrong with negative campaigning (though surely there’s something a bit wrong about being inaccurate). But when parties…

Tories three points ahead of Labour in new poll

12 November 2014 12:36

The Tories have pulled ahead of Labour in a new poll in today’s Evening Standard. The Ipsos Mori poll puts…

David Cameron’s voteless recovery

1 August 2014 8:33

The economy has recovered, and is steadily growing. That much is now clear. It has long been assumed that this…

Labour poll blow: party anger could focus on shadow cabinet

13 May 2014 11:20

What will the Labour fallout, if any, from today’s polls, be? Generally when this sort of bad news befalls to…

A Game of Numbers: Pollsters Go To War in Scotland

3 September 2013 12:19

On Sunday an opinion poll was just a poll. Nothing to be too excited by. Unreliable too. The real poll…

Nate Silver on Scottish independence: Alex Salmond has “no chance”

13 August 2013 11:07

Nate Silver, in Edinburgh to punt his new book, appears to have annoyed some Scottish nationalists today. The “polling guru”…

Abandon all hope: the average voter thinks one in four Britons is a muslim

9 July 2013 12:29

Last month I wrote a post arguing that an awful lot of opinion polling is worthless. The public mood matters…

Most opinion polls are junk: blame the ignorant general public for that.

25 June 2013 14:07

One of the very good things about Lord Ashcroft is that he is happy to commission large-scale opinion polls. Sometimes…

Ed Miliband, Olympic winner

18 August 2012 16:24

Before the last election, I had dinner with a Labour minister who told me her number one fear about the…

Voters doubt coalition will survive to 2015

13 August 2012 8:24

If the coalition leaders had hoped that announcing the demise of Lords reform during the Olympics would mean the government…

Conservatives have broken coalition agreement, voters say

9 August 2012 13:20

Here’s an interesting statistic from YouGov: more voters think the Conservatives have broken the coalition agreement than think the Lib…

Has Olympic fever arrived yet?

26 July 2012 14:05

A few years ago, comedian Marcus Brigstocke beautifully summed up the national response to the news that we’d be hosting…