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Coffee House General Election 2017

Election barometer: the debacle in figures

9 June 2017

12:49 PM

9 June 2017

12:49 PM

How the seats have changed:

And how did the pollsters do? There will have been champagne corks popping at Survation last night – and sorrows being drowned at BMG and ICM:

Labour recorded their biggest increase in the share of the vote since 1945:

Turnout was up, with a widespread belief that young voters turned out en masse. But actually, turnout was the 5th lowest of any general election since 1945:


Highest turnouts

1950 83.9%
1951 82.9%
February 1974 78.8%
1959 78.7%
1992 77.7%

Lowest turnouts

2001 59.4%
2005 61.4%
2010 65.1%
2015 66.1%
2017 68.7%

In spite of failing to secure a majority Theresa May won a higher share of the vote than any party since 1945 and higher than a Conservative government since Mrs Thatcher’s landslide in 1983

Year Con vote share Lab vote share
2017 42.4% 40.0%
2015 36.9% 30.4%
2005 32.4% 35.2%
2001 31.7% 40.7%
1997 30.7% 43.2%
1992 41.9% 34.4%
1987 42.2% 30.8%
1983 42.4% 27.6%

Bluffers have been vindicated: the two-party system is back:

Which parties got the best and which get the worse deal out of the electoral system?

Votes received for every seat won

SNP 27,930
Conservative 42,927
Labour 49,266
Lib Dem 197,254
Green 524,604

Ukip notched up 593,852 votes but won no seats

What about the popular vote of the parties who didn’t make it into the TV debates?

Yorkshire Party 20,958
National Health Action 16,119
Christian People’s Alliance 5,869
British National Party 4,642
Women’s Equality Party 3,580
Monster Raving Loony Party 3,890
Pirate Party 2,321
English Democrats 1,913
Workers’ Revolutionary Party 771
Social Democratic Party 469

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