Who will be relieved and reassured when they read this weekend’s polls on how Thursday’s independence referendum will go? Well, it looks like neither camp has much to celebrate as the polls are all over the place – which means that anything could happen in just a few days’ time.
So here’s what we know so far. Opinium has ‘No’ with a six point lead at 53 per cent, with ‘Yes’ on 47 per cent. Meanwhile an ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph puts ‘Yes’ eight points ahead. A Panelbase poll comes out later tonight. It’s also worth noting this post from John Curtice, which says the ICM finding ‘while not wholly disregarded, should clearly be viewed with caution’ because of a smaller sample size.
But this confusion over who has the lead and who doesn’t is clearly reason enough for both sides in Scotland to keep campaigning like the clappers and for Unionists in the rest of the United Kingdom to show how much they don’t want Scotland to leave.
Update, 21.35: The Sunday Times/Panelbase poll muddies the waters further. Yes is on 49.4 per cent, and No on 50.6 per cent.