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Presidential Predictions: Barack Obama 294 Mitt Romney 244 - Spectator Blogs

6 November 2012

7:37 PM

6 November 2012

7:37 PM

Asked my prediction a few days ago, I looked at all the possibilities and plumped for Obama 294, Romney 244. This is tediously in the middle of the general range of possible outcomes and therefore not the kind of wild-assed, long-shot punt anyone can occasionally ride to more fame than they merit. Sometimes even lousy gamblers or poker players get lucky.

Anyway: I think Barack Obama will lose Indiana , North Carolina, Colorado and Florida to Mitt Romney but hang on in New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, Virginia and Ohio. That would leave this map, drawn from the excellent 270 To Win.

Like the rest of us, I’m guessing here. But it’s only reasonable to publish those guesses. So what’s yours? Leave your best guess in the comments. Those left before the polls close will be considered braver than those recorded later…

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