Wednesday’s strike is going to be big — unlike the one in June, which I
suspect most people didn’t really notice. You’re not going to be able to miss this one as 90 per cent plus of schools shut — compared to a third in June — and it takes half
a day for anyone coming to Britain to pass through passport control.
Michael Gove’s speech this
morning is being widely seen as the government taking a more confrontational attitude to the strike. But I think that’s only half the story. What Gove was trying to do was appeal to the union
membership while attacking those union leaders who really don’t want a deal. We should remember that Mark Serwotka, leader of the Public and Commercial Services Union, isn’t a Labour
man but an actual Trot.
The challenge for the government is going to come if no deal is reached by the end of the year, and it is hard to see what more the coalition can offer without damaging its own credibility. Then,
it’ll have to decide whether it can simply impose a deal without the unions responding with a prolonged strike.