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Polls

Philip Hammond and David Mundell are odds over where Trident would stand in discussions with an independent Scotland. (Andy Buchanan/AFP/Getty Images)

Philip Hammond and David Mundell expose lack of political grip at heart of government

14 April 2014 12:59

Was it Philip Hammond who told the Guardian that Britain would discuss a currency union with an independent Scotland? Fleet Street is asking that question after the Defence Secretary said:… Continue reading

76 Comments
These gentlemen have much to talk about concerning the latest polls. (Image: OLI SCARFF/AFP/Getty Images)

Polling worries for Miliband – and for Cameron

14 March 2014 17:17

There’s been much hullaballoo this afternoon over a Populus poll that shows a Labour lead of one point. The usual caveats apply (it’s just one poll!); but, nevertheless, this sample… Continue reading

119 Comments
The Duke Of Beaufort's Hunt Holds The Opening Meet Of The Season

Is fox hunting on a par with dog fighting?

13 January 2014 14:55

As horses and hounds gathered across the country on Boxing Day, more than a quarter of a million people turned out on foot and on horseback to support their local… Continue reading

80 Comments
Image: Getty

Why do the Tories lead on the economy and leadership but trail overall?

2 November 2013 12:06

One of the odd things about the polls at the moment is that the Tories lead on economic competence and leadership, traditionally the two most important issues, yet trail overall.… Continue reading

224 Comments
Labour Conference Focuses On Leader's Speech

If Ed Miliband is to become Prime Minister he needs more than gimmicks

11 October 2013 12:26

Ed Miliband, everyone seems to agree, has had a good few weeks, even months. Everyone agrees on this even though Labour’s position in the polls is not significantly better now… Continue reading

35 Comments
The Championships - Wimbledon 2013: Day Thirteen

A Game of Numbers: Pollsters Go To War in Scotland

3 September 2013 12:19

On Sunday an opinion poll was just a poll. Nothing to be too excited by. Unreliable too. The real poll – the one that counts – is still a year… Continue reading

100 Comments
British Prime Minister David Cameron (R)

Tory activists are feeling more confident. What about the Lib Dems?

30 July 2013 17:21

A Conservative Home poll, which found that a majority of activists believe that the coalition is good for Britain, is the latest little boost for David Cameron, so says Paul… Continue reading

23 Comments
Image: Getty

Poll: Half of religious people support gay marriage

14 July 2013 14:09

As the House of Lords prepares to vote on gay marriage, a YouGov poll shows that the opinion of people who regard themselves as ‘religious’ is 48pc against and 44pc… Continue reading

58 Comments
Words that come to mind when thinking of Boris Johnson. Picture: Lord Ashcroft Polling.

Boris Johnson: an eminently likeable politician who poses little threat to David Cameron

28 June 2013 8:08

Even Boris can’t help the toxic Tories. That’s the upshot of Lord Ashcroft’s latest polling, which asked 8,000 people (including several focus groups outside of London) about what they think of… Continue reading

17 Comments
Nate Silver. Photo: AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh

Nate Silver interview: ‘Politics is uniquely full of bullshit’

17 May 2013 9:16

Nate Silver doesn’t suffer fools gladly — especially fools who pass themselves off as experts. In the second chapter of his book, The Signal and the Noise: The Art and… Continue reading

16 Comments
Ed Miliband

Is nice but dim such a bad thing for Labour?

10 May 2013 15:44

Labour’s lead in the polls has been pretty steady at around 10 points for a little over a year now. So why does today’s Guardian carry an article with the… Continue reading

33 Comments
It looks like David Cameron will not be relying on Populus during his re-election campaign. (Photo by Darren Staples - WPA Pool/Getty Images)

Unpopulus

2 May 2013 14:30

Steerpike is back in print in today’s Spectator. Here’s a taste of what to expect: ‘It’s been a tricky few days for Populus, the ultracool research organisation. Once the Tories’… Continue reading

0 Comments
Parliament

Should the Public Affairs Act 1975 be repealed?

18 April 2013 17:54

9 per cent of Brits say the Public Affairs Act 1975 should be repealed, and 9 per cent say it shouldn’t, according to a new poll by YouGov. If you’re… Continue reading

36 Comments
PM

Evidence-based politics: the case of the incredible shrinking Tory Party

9 April 2013 19:26

Here is something those who rely on political commentators will not have expected to see. The latest poll from TNS BMRB has the Tories down to just a quarter of… Continue reading

135 Comments
A Boris-led Tory party does six points better than a Cameron-led one, a new poll shows. Picture: Getty Images

Poll: Boris could save 50 Tory MPs

28 March 2013 15:36

YouGov have once again tested how a Boris-led Tory party would compare to a Cameron-led one in the polls. When they last did so in October, they found that Boris… Continue reading

34 Comments
George Osborne's latest Budget seems to have gone down better than last year's. Picture: Getty Images

Budget 2013: The public’s verdict

22 March 2013 14:08

We’ve got the first post-Budget polling from YouGov, and it brings mixed news for George Osborne. Certainly, this Budget doesn’t seem (so far) to have dented the Chancellor’s reputation the… Continue reading

16 Comments
Picture: Getty Images

The truth about Ukip supporters

5 March 2013 12:11

Who are all these folk jumping on Nigel Farage’s bandwagon? Ukip — which received just 3 per cent of the vote in 2010 — is now averaging about 11 per… Continue reading

222 Comments
Their superior operation and strong local record helped the Liberal Democrats secure victory. Picture: Getty Images

Eastleigh by-election: Four points from Ashcroft’s exit poll

1 March 2013 15:48

The result might be in, but that doesn’t mean there’s nothing useful polls can tell us about the Eastleigh by-election. What swayed the voters? Why did they vote as they… Continue reading

28 Comments
David Cameron delivers his EU speech. Image: Getty

Why I’m not keen on referenda

24 January 2013 10:43

It did not, in the end, take very much to outfox Ed Miliband. You wonder what he had been expecting the Prime Minister to say about a referendum on withdrawing,… Continue reading

56 Comments
A new poll suggests the Autumn Statement has improved George Osborne's standing with the public. Picture: Getty Images

The public’s verdict on the Autumn Statement

7 December 2012 13:23

We’ve only had two days to digest it, but the early signs from YouGov are that George Osborne’s Autumn Statement has gone down a lot better than his March Budget.… Continue reading

22 Comments
Image: Getty.

The death of principle

21 November 2012 10:22

If you only have time to read one full length newspaper piece today, read this one by George Bridges, the former backroom Tory guru and CPS director. It is a brilliant,… Continue reading

64 Comments
David Cameron faces many tricky battles on Europe. Image: Getty

David Cameron under attack from voters, Ed Miliband, David Davis and Angela Merkel on Europe

18 November 2012 11:49

The Sunday Papers and the broadcast shows are packed with accounts of Britain’s fractious relationship with the European Union, and what that means for David Cameron. The Observer gives space… Continue reading

38 Comments
Cheryl Gillan has slammed the government's proposals for gay marriage. Photo: Getty Images.

Exclusive: David Cameron accused of misleading over gay marriage polling

14 November 2012 17:08

One of Britain’s leading pollsters has written to the Prime Minister to rebuke him for misleading his supporters over whether the Conservative Party would suffer in the polls if they… Continue reading

113 Comments
President Obama is the strong favourite to win re-election tomorrow. Picture: Getty Images

Sorry, but Barack Obama’s clearly ahead

5 November 2012 16:09

Four years ago, on the weekend before the 2008 presidential election, political commentator John McLaughlin asked the four panellists on his show The McLaughlin Group to predict the winner. As… Continue reading

75 Comments
A new poll shows Boris Johnson could narrow the Tories' gap to Labour by 7 points. Picture: Getty Images

Polls suggest Boris as leader could be worth an extra 50 Tory MPs

15 October 2012 17:08

In their first poll conducted fully after all the party conferences, YouGov once again tested what difference replacing David Cameron with Boris Johnson would have on the Conservatives’ poll rating.… Continue reading

14 Comments