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Polls

The Annual Cowal Highland Games

Final polls put No ahead

17 September 2014 22:35

The last YouGov poll of the campaign, which has a far larger than usual sample size, has No ahead 52-48. The last phone poll of the campaign, a Survation effort,… Continue reading

36 Comments
Image: Getty

A new poll shows the Scots referendum is going right to the wire

12 September 2014 13:27

ICM’s poll has ‘no’ ahead, but only just– it’s 51-49. The ICM poll is a telephone one so both phone and internet polls are now showing ‘no’ narrowly ahead but the race too close… Continue reading

53 Comments
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Alex Salmond is within sight of his promised land: Scottish independence is more than just a dream.

2 September 2014 14:03

I don’t want to appear too immodest but, you know, I told you so. Back in February I wrote an article for this paper warning that Scotland’s independence referendum would be… Continue reading

341 Comments
Labour and Conservative supporters’ placards, held on the occasion of a visit by Gordon Brown to Cardiff during the 2010 election campaign. Image: Getty

Lord Ashcroft’s poll shows a swing to Labour in Tory-held marginal seats

20 August 2014 16:31

One of the most fascinating things about Lord Ashcroft’s latest poll is not its content, but who in the Conservative party will be reading it. Naturally, those trying to hold… Continue reading

80 Comments
FarageFront

Labour confirms Tory strategy: Vote Nigel, Get Ed

28 July 2014 7:48

Talk to most Tory strategists about Ukip and Ed Miliband and they say something along the lines of ‘Vote Farage, get Miliband’. They hope that this will deter people from… Continue reading

176 Comments
Image: Getty

Today’s poll shows Alex Salmond running out of time

13 July 2014 11:07

There really isn’t much time left. From today, there are just nine and a half weeks until we go to the polls in the independence referendum. Also today, we have… Continue reading

201 Comments
Axelrod

Miliband’s main man blames the voters

8 July 2014 15:04

Labour Party guru David Axelrod popped up in Sunday’s New York Times, presumably to promote his new book. He spoke candidly to columnist Maureen Dowd, attempting to explain why Barack Obama is… Continue reading

21 Comments
Scarfe5

One solution to revenge porn: ‘cad-shaming’

29 April 2014 12:23

I’m kicking myself because back in 2011 or 2012 Paddy Power gave me odds of 66/1 on Ukip topping the 2014 poll, which I chickened out of taking. It was… Continue reading

80 Comments
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A new poll shows Scotland on the brink of independence. Time for the ‘no’ side to panic

20 April 2014 11:05

Politicians always manage to take some crumbs of comfort from opinion polls but, if you are Alistair Darling, it would be difficult to find anything positive in the dramatic new poll published by… Continue reading

636 Comments
Philip Hammond and David Mundell are odds over where Trident would stand in discussions with an independent Scotland. (Andy Buchanan/AFP/Getty Images)

Philip Hammond and David Mundell expose lack of political grip at heart of government

14 April 2014 12:59

Was it Philip Hammond who told the Guardian that Britain would discuss a currency union with an independent Scotland? Fleet Street is asking that question after the Defence Secretary said:… Continue reading

76 Comments
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Polling worries for Miliband – and for Cameron

14 March 2014 17:17

There’s been much hullaballoo this afternoon over a Populus poll that shows a Labour lead of one point. The usual caveats apply (it’s just one poll!); but, nevertheless, this sample… Continue reading

119 Comments
The Duke Of Beaufort's Hunt Holds The Opening Meet Of The Season

Is fox hunting on a par with dog fighting?

13 January 2014 14:55

As horses and hounds gathered across the country on Boxing Day, more than a quarter of a million people turned out on foot and on horseback to support their local… Continue reading

81 Comments
Image: Getty

Why do the Tories lead on the economy and leadership but trail overall?

2 November 2013 12:06

One of the odd things about the polls at the moment is that the Tories lead on economic competence and leadership, traditionally the two most important issues, yet trail overall.… Continue reading

224 Comments
Labour Conference Focuses On Leader's Speech

If Ed Miliband is to become Prime Minister he needs more than gimmicks

11 October 2013 12:26

Ed Miliband, everyone seems to agree, has had a good few weeks, even months. Everyone agrees on this even though Labour’s position in the polls is not significantly better now… Continue reading

35 Comments
The Championships - Wimbledon 2013: Day Thirteen

A Game of Numbers: Pollsters Go To War in Scotland

3 September 2013 12:19

On Sunday an opinion poll was just a poll. Nothing to be too excited by. Unreliable too. The real poll – the one that counts – is still a year… Continue reading

100 Comments
British Prime Minister David Cameron (R)

Tory activists are feeling more confident. What about the Lib Dems?

30 July 2013 17:21

A Conservative Home poll, which found that a majority of activists believe that the coalition is good for Britain, is the latest little boost for David Cameron, so says Paul… Continue reading

23 Comments
Image: Getty

Poll: Half of religious people support gay marriage

14 July 2013 14:09

As the House of Lords prepares to vote on gay marriage, a YouGov poll shows that the opinion of people who regard themselves as ‘religious’ is 48pc against and 44pc… Continue reading

58 Comments
Words that come to mind when thinking of Boris Johnson. Picture: Lord Ashcroft Polling.

Boris Johnson: an eminently likeable politician who poses little threat to David Cameron

28 June 2013 8:08

Even Boris can’t help the toxic Tories. That’s the upshot of Lord Ashcroft’s latest polling, which asked 8,000 people (including several focus groups outside of London) about what they think of… Continue reading

17 Comments
Nate Silver. Photo: AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh

Nate Silver interview: ‘Politics is uniquely full of bullshit’

17 May 2013 9:16

Nate Silver doesn’t suffer fools gladly — especially fools who pass themselves off as experts. In the second chapter of his book, The Signal and the Noise: The Art and… Continue reading

16 Comments
Ed Miliband

Is nice but dim such a bad thing for Labour?

10 May 2013 15:44

Labour’s lead in the polls has been pretty steady at around 10 points for a little over a year now. So why does today’s Guardian carry an article with the… Continue reading

33 Comments
It looks like David Cameron will not be relying on Populus during his re-election campaign. (Photo by Darren Staples - WPA Pool/Getty Images)

Unpopulus

2 May 2013 14:30

Steerpike is back in print in today’s Spectator. Here’s a taste of what to expect: ‘It’s been a tricky few days for Populus, the ultracool research organisation. Once the Tories’… Continue reading

0 Comments
Parliament

Should the Public Affairs Act 1975 be repealed?

18 April 2013 17:54

9 per cent of Brits say the Public Affairs Act 1975 should be repealed, and 9 per cent say it shouldn’t, according to a new poll by YouGov. If you’re… Continue reading

36 Comments
PM

Evidence-based politics: the case of the incredible shrinking Tory Party

9 April 2013 19:26

Here is something those who rely on political commentators will not have expected to see. The latest poll from TNS BMRB has the Tories down to just a quarter of… Continue reading

135 Comments
A Boris-led Tory party does six points better than a Cameron-led one, a new poll shows. Picture: Getty Images

Poll: Boris could save 50 Tory MPs

28 March 2013 15:36

YouGov have once again tested how a Boris-led Tory party would compare to a Cameron-led one in the polls. When they last did so in October, they found that Boris… Continue reading

34 Comments
George Osborne's latest Budget seems to have gone down better than last year's. Picture: Getty Images

Budget 2013: The public’s verdict

22 March 2013 14:08

We’ve got the first post-Budget polling from YouGov, and it brings mixed news for George Osborne. Certainly, this Budget doesn’t seem (so far) to have dented the Chancellor’s reputation the… Continue reading

16 Comments