2015 general election
Nate Silver on predicting the 2015 general election
I’ve interviewed one of the heroes of last year’s US elections — forecasting expect Nate Silver — for the books blog, but I thought CoffeeHousers might be interested in what… Continue reading
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Would joint candidates with Ukip really work?
Westminster is on fire with speculation about Tory/Ukip joint candidates after The Spectator’s exclusive this afternoon. But would it really work? CCHQ has already rejected the idea, with a spokesman telling… Continue reading
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Exclusive: Nigel Farage says yes to Dorries and backs joint Tory and Labour Ukip candidates
Following Isabel’s revelation that the newly-reinstated Nadine Dorries will be pursuing an electoral pact with Ukip, Nigel Farage reveals he is open not just to Dorries’ advances but also those… Continue reading
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Some cheer for Tory election planners: Clegg determined to oppose EU referendum
The last few weeks have, to put it mildly, not been encouraging for those working on the Tories’ 2015 campaign. But today brings news to gladden their hearts. For the… Continue reading
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The truth about Ukip supporters
Who are all these folk jumping on Nigel Farage’s bandwagon? Ukip — which received just 3 per cent of the vote in 2010 — is now averaging about 11 per… Continue reading
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Eastleigh by-election: Four points from Ashcroft’s exit poll
The result might be in, but that doesn’t mean there’s nothing useful polls can tell us about the Eastleigh by-election. What swayed the voters? Why did they vote as they… Continue reading
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The Tory message in 2015: Vote Cameron for PM
One thing is already apparent about the Tories’ 2015 campaign, it will be even more dependent on David Cameron than the 2010 one was. Why, because as Anthony Wells points… Continue reading
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The Liberal Democrat paradox
Labour under a more left-wing leader, the Tories bearing right. These are circumstances in which you would expect the Liberal Democrats to flourish. But they are in government and haven’t… Continue reading
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David Cameron brings in the Wizard of Oz
After months of will he/won’t he, Lynton Crosby has decided to join the Cameron clan. The Sunday Telegraph reports that the Australian strategist behind Boris’ two victories has signed up as a… Continue reading
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Can the Wizard of Oz solve the Tories’ 2015 problem?
How is David Cameron planning to get re-elected? If he couldn’t win a majority against Gordon Brown in 2010 then why should he do so much better after five years… Continue reading
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The View from 22 — Britain vs. Germany, kicking the Lib Dems and the BBC 28
Are Britain and Germany heading for an almightily clash over the future of the EU? In this week’s Spectator, Christopher Caldwell argues that Angela Merkel has had enough of Britain’s… Continue reading
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Spectator exclusive: Tories ‘top 40′ hit list includes 20 Liberal Democrats
The Tories have a 40:40 strategy for the next election. The aim is to defend their 40 most vulnerable seats and try and win 40 others to give the party… Continue reading
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The View from 22 – Barack Obama’s hollow victory and remodernising the Tories
Is there something underwhelming about Obama’s reelection? In this week’s cover feature, John O’Sullivan discusses impact of changing demographics of the America electorate and the challenges this poses for the… Continue reading
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Adding a bit of mongrel to Number 10
The saga of whether Lynton Crosby, the hard-charging Australian strategist who ran Boris Johnson’s successful mayoral campaigns, will join the Cameron operation continues. I understand that contrary to popular belief… Continue reading
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Ed Miliband’s winning strategy
Ed Miliband has adopted a rather simple strategy: do nothing, and wait for your opponents to screw up. It’s lazy, but undoubtedly effective. The Tories are playing along perfectly. The… Continue reading
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