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2015 general election

The odds Ladbrokes are giving on the next defectors and the 2015 election. Photo: Sebastian Payne for The Spectator.

Bookies point to Philip Hollobone as next Tory-Ukip defector

21 November 2014 12:02

Forget opinion polling, bookmakers are usually the most astute predictors of election outcomes. Ladbrokes are out in force in Rochester town centre this morning, giving odds on what might happen… Continue reading

48 Comments
(Photo: Carl Court/Getty)

Rochester points to a British general election where no one wins

21 November 2014 8:21

Rochester is not a freak. It has given us a glimpse of what bookies now believe to be the lost likely outcome of the next election: that no one wins.… Continue reading

198 Comments
Larry the Downing Street Cat Waits Outside Number 10

Does anyone actually want to win the next election?

11 November 2014 15:28

A battle lost is worse than a battle won and there are fewer Pyrrhic victories in politics than you think. One of the staples of pre-election punditry, however, is that… Continue reading

105 Comments
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Labour hedge bets on PR firm

10 November 2014 13:44

The Labour Party has asked the mad men over at Lucky Generals to work with them at the next general election, according to Campaign magazine. Seasoned watchers of this sort… Continue reading

2 Comments
Labour Party Conference - Daily Life

The Labour leadership crisis that David Cameron would have scripted

9 November 2014 9:49

So far, this is the Labour leadership crisis that David Cameron would have scripted. The papers this morning are full of awful poll findings for Ed Miliband, negative briefings and on… Continue reading

328 Comments
US-POLITICS-OBAMA

What Tory MPs remember from their away day

2 November 2014 12:21

Two things have stuck in Tory MPs’ minds from their away. The first, that painting of George Osborne. The second, Jim Messina’s presentation and his confidence that the Tories would… Continue reading

82 Comments
Image: Getty

Alex Salmond shows how the SNP will fight Labour in 2015

1 November 2014 9:06

Talk to senior Labour figures about the polls that show them losing 30 or more seats in Scotland, and they say two things. The first is that these polls have… Continue reading

244 Comments
Jim Messina and David Axelrod (Photo: Getty)

Meet the two Americans set to steer the next general election

27 October 2014 16:00

Washington, D.C. David Cameron, Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg – the obvious targets to blame for the disillusionment engulfing British politics. But let’s not forget the role of the Americans.… Continue reading

22 Comments
Labour Party Leader Ed Miliband Visits The Univerity College London Hospital

Labour’s NHS strategy – tax tobacco, save the cancer patients

18 October 2014 13:22

Labour wants the next election to be about the NHS, one of their strongest issues. Party strategists have been struck by how it has been rising up voters’ list of… Continue reading

63 Comments
Danny Alexander's call for the abolition of higher-rate relief on pension contributions has received the backing of the Centre for Policy Studies. Picture: Getty

Danny Alexander indicates that the Lib Dems wants £5 billion in tax rises

6 October 2014 20:37

In a sign of his enhanced status in the party, Danny Alexander has been one of the main attractions on the conference fringe this year. This evening, it was standing… Continue reading

90 Comments
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Will Guardian readers hold their noses and vote Tory?

1 October 2014 21:48

Well! Jonathan Freedland of the Guardian was impressed by David Cameron’s conference speech and no mistake. The campaign for 2015 has begun. On Wednesday, in what may well have been… Continue reading

200 Comments
Boris Johnson Stand For Selection As An MP

Loyal Boris rallies the troops

29 September 2014 19:28

Boris Johnson was on loyal form tonight at the Conservative Home rally. He told the audience that the Tory advantage on leadership and the economy would see voters coming over… Continue reading

77 Comments
(Photo: Oli Scarff/Getty)

Ukip set for crushing Clacton win

31 August 2014 9:39

David Cameron and the Tories’ electoral hopes are about to take a long walk on Clacton’s short pier. A poll in the Mail on Sunday today has Ukip on 64%… Continue reading

335 Comments
(Photo: Getty)

David Cameron can’t afford any more slip-ups

31 July 2014 15:10

From now until September 18th, the Scottish referendum will rightly dominate national politics. Tuesday night’s debate between Alistair Darling and Alex Salmond is the Yes campaign’s last and best chance… Continue reading

32 Comments
Ed Miliband Attends Launch Of Online Mental Health Resource For Children

Ed Miliband tries to turn his vices into virtues

27 July 2014 10:12

Ed Miliband’s admirers are hailing his speech on Friday as an attempt to change how we think about leadership. It might have been that, but it was also a very… Continue reading

57 Comments
kippers

Ukip MPs would have to trim and compromise like everyone else, wouldn’t they?

26 July 2014 13:16

Ukip are holding an action day in Thurrock today. Their tails are up at the moment because a recent poll of marginal seats by Lord Ashcroft put them in first… Continue reading

154 Comments
Diane James and Nigel Farage in Eastleigh last year. (Image: Getty)

Diane James is promoted to Ukip’s new look front bench

24 July 2014 13:50

Nigel Farage has promoted a slew of women to senior roles in his reshuffle of the Ukip front bench. Diane James, who came close to winning the Eastleigh by-election, becomes… Continue reading

169 Comments
Prime Minister David Cameron Announces His New Cabinet

Priti Patel ‘totally up for it’

22 July 2014 11:14

Priti Patel, poster girl for the next generation of the Tory right, will be a key face on the airwaves come election time. When the PM offered her a job last… Continue reading

50 Comments
Beckett And Harman

PMQs: David Cameron jumps on Harriet Harman’s ‘tax bombshell’

16 July 2014 13:42

David Cameron cut his political teeth on the 1992 election campaign. He has long told colleagues that he think 2015 will be a very similar election to 1992. Today he… Continue reading

49 Comments
Prime Minister David Cameron Announces His New Cabinet

Mrs Gove goes on the warpath, as Michael plots his media career

16 July 2014 11:16

Well, Michael Gove’s wife, Sarah Vine, has made her views clear: tweeting that the reshuffle was ‘a shabby day’s work which Cameron will live to regret’. Crikey. Talk about ‘stand… Continue reading

62 Comments
Esther McVey leaving Number 10 Downing Street after finding out she will keep her job but attend Cabinet. Image: Getty

Cameron’s reshuffle is promoting women, yes – but risks patronising them too

15 July 2014 12:18

After today’s hiring and firings, the women ratio in the Cabinet rises from 14 per cent to 24 per cent. There is something horribly tokenistic, and faintly misogynistic, about boasting about… Continue reading

102 Comments
BRITAIN-EU-VOTE

Nigel Farage hints at how a Tory / Ukip electoral pact might work

13 July 2014 10:38

Vote Farage, get Miliband might not have quite as much resonance with voters as the Tories would like. But it is certainly effective with donors. If Ukip is seen as… Continue reading

129 Comments
Image: Getty

There’s poison in the Shadow Cabinet – and it could cost Ed Miliband the election

24 June 2014 13:50

That Ed Miliband is even having to state that he wants to carry on as Labour leader if he loses the general election when his party is ahead in the… Continue reading

79 Comments
The Lib Dems are set to lose 15 seats to the Conservatives at the next election.

Tories set to take a dozen seats from Lib Dems in 2015

19 June 2014 18:03

How many seats will the Conservatives take from the Lib Dems at the next election? According to Lord Ashcroft’s latest polling, a dozen or so Tory-Lib Dem marginals look set… Continue reading

55 Comments
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Video: can Labour solve its Miliband problem?

18 June 2014 14:54

Ed Miliband’s popularity ratings have sunk below those of Nick Clegg this week, so what can Labour do? In this week’s View from 22 podcast, James Forsyth and Isabel Hardman… Continue reading

15 Comments