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Cameron’s Sunday best

13 January 2008 10:29

David Cameron turned in a strong performance on the Andrew Marr show this morning pushing back firmly and effectively against Marr’s suggestion that there was somehow equivalence between Peter Hain… Continue reading


Overwhelming public support for Tory welfare policies

12 January 2008 23:16

Fraser wrote the other day about how public attitudes seemed to be moving decisively in favour of welfare reform and new poll numbers,flagged up by Conservative Home, back up this… Continue reading


Clegg steps up

12 January 2008 15:35

I spent the morning at the LSE, listening to Nick Clegg’s first big speech at Lib Dem leader and then participating in a panel on the issues he had raised.… Continue reading


What Gordon should learn from Hillary

11 January 2008 19:15

After Hillary’s remarkable come from behind victory in New Hampshire there have been a lot of jokes about how we can now expect Gordon Brown, and every other ambitious politician, to… Continue reading


The Hain saga

11 January 2008 15:37

Ben Brogan has an absolute must read post on this whole business of Peter Hain and the donations. As Ben writes, “For the moment Downing Street’s confidence remains solid, in… Continue reading


Cameron’s real enemy will be the machine

11 January 2008 13:21

A sound objection to David Cameron’s welfare reform policy is raised today by Richard Littlejohn. Norman Fowler took him out to Washington and Baltimore in the 1980s when he was… Continue reading


Gordon’s roof

11 January 2008 12:01

Today’s speech by George Osborne attacking Gordon Brown’s record for economic competence is an important development in the rolling out of Tory strategy. The charge that Gordon is not up… Continue reading


Premium Politics

10 January 2008 22:21

Sam Coates, over at his splendid new blog, writes that the Tories have been indulging in some clothes stealing by adopting the Lib Dem idea for a pupil premium for… Continue reading


Brown goes nuclear, repeatedly

10 January 2008 21:38

Is Gordon Brown running for the world record on the number of times a story is announced? His “revelation” that Britain will continue with nuclear power is something this government… Continue reading

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Why the press wrote the Obama surge story so hard

10 January 2008 16:07

The debate over why the polls in New Hampshire were so wrong is still raging on this side of the Atlantic. An agenda-setting op-ed by the top pollster Andy Kohut… Continue reading


What’s your view on the Fourth Plinth?  

10 January 2008 7:20

Come on Londoners – it’s judgement day! Now that the new designs for the Fourth Plinth are on display, I think it’s time for us all to have our shout… Continue reading


The next Republican contest

10 January 2008 7:04

Washington, DC The Michigan primary coming up on Tuesday will determine whether Mitt Romney can remain a credible candidate. If he can’t win in a state where his father was… Continue reading

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Wrong exit

9 January 2008 18:57

A set or first editions of today’s newspapers will be a collector’s item. Here are a selection of their stories, usually printed at 9pm, predicting Hillary’s downfall. "Iowa, New Hampshire,… Continue reading


What role did race play in Obama’s loss?

9 January 2008 17:10

The debate over whether the reluctance of white voters to support a black candidate once in the privacy of the voting booth is what explains Obama’s loss is raging here… Continue reading


Brown does a Hillary (again) – and fights back

9 January 2008 13:14

An angrier Brown was in front of us today, holding handwritten notes for his exchanges with Cameron rather than anything given to him by No10. He would scribble furiously, and… Continue reading


Are markets becoming part of the problem?

9 January 2008 11:47

We’ve just posted a piece that is well worth reading by Martin Vander Weyer on whether ‘City spivs’ are responsible for the current economic turbulence. You can read it here.


Hillary now odds-on favourite again

9 January 2008 10:12

Ladbrokes is calling it "one of the largest shocks in political betting history" – along with journalists and pollsters the money had also predicted an Obama win. Yesterday, Ladbrokes had… Continue reading


Hillary’s remarkable triumph

9 January 2008 8:29

Hillary Clinton’s comeback win took everyone, including her own campaign, by surprise. The theories are flowing as to how she pulled it out. Some are claiming it is because people… Continue reading


How did we all get this so wrong?

9 January 2008 5:20

To say that there is shock at tonight’s result would be an understatement. Every poll was predicting an Obama win–the internal numbers of both campaigns had him up by double-digits,… Continue reading


McCain’s first step to the nomination

9 January 2008 4:05

John McCain’s commanding win here makes him, remarkably for a candidate who was written off for dead last summer, the favourite to be the Republican nominee in November. To be… Continue reading


ABC call New Hampshire for Obama

9 January 2008 1:28

The big question now is the margin. If it is less than five the Clintons will spin a comeback narrative, if it is double digits for Obama then the meltdown… Continue reading

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McCain wins New Hampshire

9 January 2008 1:17

This place has just errupted with the news that the networks have called New Hampshire for McCain. Considering how quickly this has been called, McCain must have won by a… Continue reading


Welfare reform is now seen as well fair

8 January 2008 23:49

I’ve just finished a 45-minute BBC Five Live phone-in with Richard Bacon about Cameron’s welfare reform – me in favour and Lisa Harker from the IPPR (ex DWP) against. I… Continue reading


This could be a blow out

8 January 2008 19:03

Extra Democratic ballots are needed in a string of towns, this is great news for Obama—who won in Iowa by bringing new people into the caucuses—and bad for Hillary Clinton.… Continue reading


If you want to win big, you’ve got to think big

8 January 2008 15:39

The post-mortems are already beginning on the Clinton campaign as everyone here is expecting a big Obama win tonight; the spin from her side is that if they can keep… Continue reading