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A new poll shows Scotland on the brink of independence. Time for the ‘no’ side to panic

20 April 2014 11:05
Screen Shot 2014-04-20 at 15.01.39

Politicians always manage to take some crumbs of comfort from opinion polls but, if you are Alistair Darling, it would be difficult to find anything positive in the dramatic new poll published by… Continue reading

627 Comments

Philip Hammond and David Mundell expose lack of political grip at heart of government

14 April 2014 12:59
Philip Hammond and David Mundell are odds over where Trident would stand in discussions with an independent Scotland. (Andy Buchanan/AFP/Getty Images)

Was it Philip Hammond who told the Guardian that Britain would discuss a currency union with an independent Scotland? Fleet Street is asking that question after the Defence Secretary said:… Continue reading

76 Comments

Polling worries for Miliband – and for Cameron

14 March 2014 17:17
These gentlemen have much to talk about concerning the latest polls. (Image: OLI SCARFF/AFP/Getty Images)

There’s been much hullaballoo this afternoon over a Populus poll that shows a Labour lead of one point. The usual caveats apply (it’s just one poll!); but, nevertheless, this sample… Continue reading

119 Comments

Is fox hunting on a par with dog fighting?

13 January 2014 14:55
The Duke Of Beaufort's Hunt Holds The Opening Meet Of The Season

As horses and hounds gathered across the country on Boxing Day, more than a quarter of a million people turned out on foot and on horseback to support their local… Continue reading

80 Comments

Why do the Tories lead on the economy and leadership but trail overall?

2 November 2013 12:06
Image: Getty

One of the odd things about the polls at the moment is that the Tories lead on economic competence and leadership, traditionally the two most important issues, yet trail overall.… Continue reading

224 Comments

If Ed Miliband is to become Prime Minister he needs more than gimmicks

11 October 2013 12:26
Labour Conference Focuses On Leader's Speech

Ed Miliband, everyone seems to agree, has had a good few weeks, even months. Everyone agrees on this even though Labour’s position in the polls is not significantly better now… Continue reading

35 Comments

Tory activists are feeling more confident. What about the Lib Dems?

30 July 2013 17:21
British Prime Minister David Cameron (R)

A Conservative Home poll, which found that a majority of activists believe that the coalition is good for Britain, is the latest little boost for David Cameron, so says Paul… Continue reading

23 Comments

Poll: Half of religious people support gay marriage

14 July 2013 14:09
Image: Getty

As the House of Lords prepares to vote on gay marriage, a YouGov poll shows that the opinion of people who regard themselves as ‘religious’ is 48pc against and 44pc… Continue reading

58 Comments

Boris Johnson: an eminently likeable politician who poses little threat to David Cameron

28 June 2013 8:08
Words that come to mind when thinking of Boris Johnson. Picture: Lord Ashcroft Polling.

Even Boris can’t help the toxic Tories. That’s the upshot of Lord Ashcroft’s latest polling, which asked 8,000 people (including several focus groups outside of London) about what they think of… Continue reading

17 Comments

Is nice but dim such a bad thing for Labour?

10 May 2013 15:44
Ed Miliband

Labour’s lead in the polls has been pretty steady at around 10 points for a little over a year now. So why does today’s Guardian carry an article with the… Continue reading

33 Comments

Should the Public Affairs Act 1975 be repealed?

18 April 2013 17:54
Parliament

9 per cent of Brits say the Public Affairs Act 1975 should be repealed, and 9 per cent say it shouldn’t, according to a new poll by YouGov. If you’re… Continue reading

36 Comments

Poll: Boris could save 50 Tory MPs

28 March 2013 15:36
A Boris-led Tory party does six points better than a Cameron-led one, a new poll shows. Picture: Getty Images

YouGov have once again tested how a Boris-led Tory party would compare to a Cameron-led one in the polls. When they last did so in October, they found that Boris… Continue reading

34 Comments

Budget 2013: The public’s verdict

22 March 2013 14:08
George Osborne's latest Budget seems to have gone down better than last year's. Picture: Getty Images

We’ve got the first post-Budget polling from YouGov, and it brings mixed news for George Osborne. Certainly, this Budget doesn’t seem (so far) to have dented the Chancellor’s reputation the… Continue reading

16 Comments

The truth about Ukip supporters

5 March 2013 12:11
Picture: Getty Images

Who are all these folk jumping on Nigel Farage’s bandwagon? Ukip — which received just 3 per cent of the vote in 2010 — is now averaging about 11 per… Continue reading

222 Comments

Eastleigh by-election: Four points from Ashcroft’s exit poll

1 March 2013 15:48
Their superior operation and strong local record helped the Liberal Democrats secure victory. Picture: Getty Images

The result might be in, but that doesn’t mean there’s nothing useful polls can tell us about the Eastleigh by-election. What swayed the voters? Why did they vote as they… Continue reading

28 Comments

The public’s verdict on the Autumn Statement

7 December 2012 13:23
A new poll suggests the Autumn Statement has improved George Osborne's standing with the public. Picture: Getty Images

We’ve only had two days to digest it, but the early signs from YouGov are that George Osborne’s Autumn Statement has gone down a lot better than his March Budget.… Continue reading

22 Comments

The death of principle

21 November 2012 10:22
Image: Getty.

If you only have time to read one full length newspaper piece today, read this one by George Bridges, the former backroom Tory guru and CPS director. It is a brilliant,… Continue reading

64 Comments

David Cameron under attack from voters, Ed Miliband, David Davis and Angela Merkel on Europe

18 November 2012 11:49
David Cameron faces many tricky battles on Europe. Image: Getty

The Sunday Papers and the broadcast shows are packed with accounts of Britain’s fractious relationship with the European Union, and what that means for David Cameron. The Observer gives space… Continue reading

38 Comments

Sorry, but Barack Obama’s clearly ahead

5 November 2012 16:09
President Obama is the strong favourite to win re-election tomorrow. Picture: Getty Images

Four years ago, on the weekend before the 2008 presidential election, political commentator John McLaughlin asked the four panellists on his show The McLaughlin Group to predict the winner. As… Continue reading

75 Comments

Polls suggest Boris as leader could be worth an extra 50 Tory MPs

15 October 2012 17:08
A new poll shows Boris Johnson could narrow the Tories' gap to Labour by 7 points. Picture: Getty Images

In their first poll conducted fully after all the party conferences, YouGov once again tested what difference replacing David Cameron with Boris Johnson would have on the Conservatives’ poll rating.… Continue reading

14 Comments

David Cameron reverses Ed Miliband’s conference bounce

12 October 2012 12:40
The Conservatives have received a poll bump from their party conference. Picture: Getty Images

Just as Ed Miliband seemed to get a poll bounce from his conference speech last week, so David Cameron seems to have got one from his on Wednesday. On YouGov’s… Continue reading

28 Comments

Romney narrows the gap, but Obama remains the favourite

9 October 2012 18:41
After the first presidential debate, Mitt Romney has closed the gap to Barack Obama in the polls. Picture: Getty Images

The question after last week’s presidential debate was not who had won — there was a clear consensus that Mitt Romney had got the better of Barack Obama — but… Continue reading

18 Comments

‘Are you better off?’ won’t be a winning debate line for Mitt Romney

3 October 2012 16:02
Mitt Romney will debate President Obama for the first time in Denver, Colorado tonight. Picture: Getty Images.

‘Are you better off than you were four years ago?’ That was the question Ronald Reagan told Americans to ask themselves when choosing their President in 1980, and it’s a… Continue reading

7 Comments

Polls show big leads for Labour, but bad ratings for Ed Miliband

19 September 2012 17:21
Despite poor ratings for leader Ed Miliband, Labour continues to post big leads in the polls. Picture: Getty Images

Over the past two days, we’ve had polls from four different pollsters, and all of them show big leads for Labour. Yesterday, Populus gave Ed Miliband’s party a 15-point lead… Continue reading

12 Comments

Democrats pull ahead in key US Senate races

18 September 2012 10:09
Elizabeth Warren is one of several Democratic Senate candidates who has pulled ahead recently. Picture: Getty Images

When I looked at the battle for the United States Senate back in July, I said it’d be tough for the Democrats to retain control. But since then — and… Continue reading

12 Comments