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Ed Miliband's party enjoys an eight-point lead in the polls. Picture: Getty Images

Is nice but dim such a bad thing for Labour?

10 May 2013 15:44

Labour’s lead in the polls has been pretty steady at around 10 points for a little over a year now. So why does today’s Guardian carry an article with the… Continue reading

33 Comments
The Public Affairs Act needs to go! Who's with me? Picture: Getty Images

Should the Public Affairs Act 1975 be repealed?

18 April 2013 17:54

9 per cent of Brits say the Public Affairs Act 1975 should be repealed, and 9 per cent say it shouldn’t, according to a new poll by YouGov. If you’re… Continue reading

36 Comments
A Boris-led Tory party does six points better than a Cameron-led one, a new poll shows. Picture: Getty Images

Poll: Boris could save 50 Tory MPs

28 March 2013 15:36

YouGov have once again tested how a Boris-led Tory party would compare to a Cameron-led one in the polls. When they last did so in October, they found that Boris… Continue reading

34 Comments
George Osborne's latest Budget seems to have gone down better than last year's. Picture: Getty Images

Budget 2013: The public’s verdict

22 March 2013 14:08

We’ve got the first post-Budget polling from YouGov, and it brings mixed news for George Osborne. Certainly, this Budget doesn’t seem (so far) to have dented the Chancellor’s reputation the… Continue reading

16 Comments
Picture: Getty Images

The truth about Ukip supporters

5 March 2013 12:11

Who are all these folk jumping on Nigel Farage’s bandwagon? Ukip — which received just 3 per cent of the vote in 2010 — is now averaging about 11 per… Continue reading

221 Comments
Their superior operation and strong local record helped the Liberal Democrats secure victory. Picture: Getty Images

Eastleigh by-election: Four points from Ashcroft’s exit poll

1 March 2013 15:48

The result might be in, but that doesn’t mean there’s nothing useful polls can tell us about the Eastleigh by-election. What swayed the voters? Why did they vote as they… Continue reading

27 Comments
A new poll suggests the Autumn Statement has improved George Osborne's standing with the public. Picture: Getty Images

The public’s verdict on the Autumn Statement

7 December 2012 13:23

We’ve only had two days to digest it, but the early signs from YouGov are that George Osborne’s Autumn Statement has gone down a lot better than his March Budget.… Continue reading

22 Comments
Image: Getty.

The death of principle

21 November 2012 10:22

If you only have time to read one full length newspaper piece today, read this one by George Bridges, the former backroom Tory guru and CPS director. It is a brilliant,… Continue reading

64 Comments
David Cameron faces many tricky battles on Europe. Image: Getty

David Cameron under attack from voters, Ed Miliband, David Davis and Angela Merkel on Europe

18 November 2012 11:49

The Sunday Papers and the broadcast shows are packed with accounts of Britain’s fractious relationship with the European Union, and what that means for David Cameron. The Observer gives space… Continue reading

38 Comments
President Obama is the strong favourite to win re-election tomorrow. Picture: Getty Images

Sorry, but Barack Obama’s clearly ahead

5 November 2012 16:09

Four years ago, on the weekend before the 2008 presidential election, political commentator John McLaughlin asked the four panellists on his show The McLaughlin Group to predict the winner. As… Continue reading

75 Comments
A new poll shows Boris Johnson could narrow the Tories' gap to Labour by 7 points. Picture: Getty Images

Polls suggest Boris as leader could be worth an extra 50 Tory MPs

15 October 2012 17:08

In their first poll conducted fully after all the party conferences, YouGov once again tested what difference replacing David Cameron with Boris Johnson would have on the Conservatives’ poll rating.… Continue reading

14 Comments
The Conservatives have received a poll bump from their party conference. Picture: Getty Images

David Cameron reverses Ed Miliband’s conference bounce

12 October 2012 12:40

Just as Ed Miliband seemed to get a poll bounce from his conference speech last week, so David Cameron seems to have got one from his on Wednesday. On YouGov’s… Continue reading

28 Comments
After the first presidential debate, Mitt Romney has closed the gap to Barack Obama in the polls. Picture: Getty Images

Romney narrows the gap, but Obama remains the favourite

9 October 2012 18:41

The question after last week’s presidential debate was not who had won — there was a clear consensus that Mitt Romney had got the better of Barack Obama — but… Continue reading

18 Comments
Mitt Romney will debate President Obama for the first time in Denver, Colorado tonight. Picture: Getty Images.

‘Are you better off?’ won’t be a winning debate line for Mitt Romney

3 October 2012 16:02

‘Are you better off than you were four years ago?’ That was the question Ronald Reagan told Americans to ask themselves when choosing their President in 1980, and it’s a… Continue reading

7 Comments
Despite poor ratings for leader Ed Miliband, Labour continues to post big leads in the polls. Picture: Getty Images

Polls show big leads for Labour, but bad ratings for Ed Miliband

19 September 2012 17:21

Over the past two days, we’ve had polls from four different pollsters, and all of them show big leads for Labour. Yesterday, Populus gave Ed Miliband’s party a 15-point lead… Continue reading

12 Comments
Elizabeth Warren is one of several Democratic Senate candidates who has pulled ahead recently. Picture: Getty Images

Democrats pull ahead in key US Senate races

18 September 2012 10:09

When I looked at the battle for the United States Senate back in July, I said it’d be tough for the Democrats to retain control. But since then — and… Continue reading

12 Comments
A new survey shows a drop in support for spending cuts. Picture: Getty Images

Increased support for more spending, but also for benefit cuts

17 September 2012 16:28

‘Support for an increase in public spending rises.’ That’s the headline generated by the latest British Social Attitudes survey results, out today. They show that the proportion of the population… Continue reading

32 Comments
A more civil partnership? Image: Carla Miller

Ed Balls proposes coalition with Vince Cable

9 September 2012 17:43

Ed Balls has today made his very own full, open and comprehensive offer to the Liberal Democrats – or, rather, to Vince Cable. The shadow chancellor said he could work… Continue reading

30 Comments
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‘David Cameron stands for being Prime Minister’

6 July 2012 15:30

‘What do you think David Cameron stands for?’ a Tory MP asked me recently. Unsure of his point, I burbled something about ‘responsibility’ and couple of other random abstract nouns.… Continue reading

58 Comments
Prime Minister David Cameron Meets Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy

Will No.10 raid the welfare budget for tax cuts?

24 June 2012 21:30

David Cameron’s 10 Downing Street has an unusual setup — it has a pollster, Andrew Cooper, as its chief strategist. This helps explain why the government is (to put it… Continue reading

27 Comments