The Maria Miller problem is not going away for the government. Tory MPs who went back to their constituencies over the weekend have come back to Westminster depressed about how big the issue is playing on the doorstep. There is fear that the whole story is playing straight into Nigel Farage’s hands. The 2010 intake are particularly concerned about the level of public anger over the issue.

David Cameron has always prided himself on not giving scalps to the press. This is why I’d still be surprised if Miller went before the reshuffle. But her prospects in that reshuffle are looking far glummer today than they did on Thursday. In the present circumstances, sending her to the Welsh Office would look like an insult to Wales. ​

Tags: David Cameron, Expenses, Maria miller, reshuffles, Wales