Andrew Porter has a must-read story on the chances of an early election in the Telegraph this morning. He reports that Brown will not decide whether to call an early election until after the Labour conference. Interestingly, Labour advisers seem to believe that an election called this year would be a ‘mandate poll’ which would allow Brown to run on his plans for the future. While if Brown delays, he’ll have to fight a verdict campaign that would require him to defend Labour’s record in office since 1997.
I’m not sure that the split is this neat but it does seem that the chances of an early election are once more on the rise. If the Labour lead is in double digits after Bournemouth, then the speculation will reach fever pitch.