Jonathan Jones

Jonathan Jones is Director of Research at The Spectator.

Nate Silver on predicting the 2015 general election

17 May 2013 12:18

I’ve interviewed one of the heroes of last year’s US elections — forecasting expect Nate Silver — for the books…

Nate Silver interview: ‘Politics is uniquely full of bullshit’

17 May 2013 9:16

Nate Silver doesn’t suffer fools gladly — especially fools who pass themselves off as experts. In the second chapter of…

Unemployment rises… or does it?

15 May 2013 15:29

Today’s job statistics are, as usual, mixed — and even a touch confusing. Last month, the headline was that the…

Dominic Raab reveals Britain’s true debt burden

14 May 2013 16:21

With the Conservative Party continuing to bang on relentlessly about Europe, Boris Johnson issued a timely reminder yesterday that ‘most…

Is nice but dim such a bad thing for Labour?

10 May 2013 15:44

Labour’s lead in the polls has been pretty steady at around 10 points for a little over a year now.…

No triple-dip: GDP up by 0.3%

25 April 2013 9:30

The UK seems to have avoided a triple-dip recession. According to today’s estimate from the Office for National Statistics, the…

Nigel Farage shouldn’t get Ukip’s hopes up for a win in Portsmouth South

24 April 2013 11:56

Talk of a by-election in Portsmouth South has been growing, fuelled by allegations against MP Mike Hancock. And, in a…

Deficit falls by 0.3%… maybe

23 April 2013 10:04

George Osborne will be breathing a sigh of relief this morning. The boast he made in his Autumn Statement in…

Should the Public Affairs Act 1975 be repealed?

18 April 2013 17:54

9 per cent of Brits say the Public Affairs Act 1975 should be repealed, and 9 per cent say it…

Has the jobs recovery stalled?

17 April 2013 16:39

The number of people in work in December to February was 29.698 million — lower than last month’s 29.732 million…

Margaret Thatcher in six graphs

10 April 2013 12:58

With the debate swirling about Margaret Thatcher’s legacy and her government’s record, it’s worth taking a look at what the…

Two versions of Osborne’s benefits speech

2 April 2013 14:12

The Times’ Sam Coates picked up on a couple of discrepancies between the text of George Osborne’s Morrisons speech sent…

Poll: Boris could save 50 Tory MPs

28 March 2013 15:36

YouGov have once again tested how a Boris-led Tory party would compare to a Cameron-led one in the polls. When…

Budget 2013: The public’s verdict

22 March 2013 14:08

We’ve got the first post-Budget polling from YouGov, and it brings mixed news for George Osborne. Certainly, this Budget doesn’t…

Voters didn't like Plan A when it had George Osborne's name attached. Picture: Getty

Voters: It’s not Plan A, it’s Osborne

14 March 2013 17:52

A fascinating poll result from Ipsos MORI today. They ask, essentially, whether people agree with the government’s ‘Plan A’ or…

Forget 50p — scrap the 60p tax rate

12 March 2013 14:50

Imagine if a Chancellor stood up and announced that those earning up to £100,000 would pay a 40p tax rate,…

Five things you need to know about the EU’s bonus cap

7 March 2013 15:34

1. The plan: To limit the bonuses that can be paid to bankers to the level of their salary. Any higher…

The truth about Ukip supporters

5 March 2013 12:11

Who are all these folk jumping on Nigel Farage’s bandwagon? Ukip — which received just 3 per cent of the…

What Works: The government’s NICE new idea

4 March 2013 19:07

This afternoon, Danny Alexander and Oliver Letwin launched something so sensible it’s astonishing governments haven’t been doing it before. They’re…

Eastleigh by-election: Four points from Ashcroft’s exit poll

1 March 2013 15:48

The result might be in, but that doesn’t mean there’s nothing useful polls can tell us about the Eastleigh by-election.…

Fag break Britain: four answers to Britain’s productivity puzzle

1 March 2013 11:52

Jobs are being created in Britain, but the economy isn’t growing. In the last year, the number of people in…

Italian elections: ‘The worst possible outcome’

26 February 2013 15:16

Forget Moody’s. If you want to see market panic, just look at Italy. As Isabel reported this morning, the unexpectedly…

Markets shrug off Britain’s downgrade

25 February 2013 9:37

It seems that Moody’s downgrade of UK government bonds on Friday night has — so far — had more effect…

Tinkering with tax isn’t enough

22 February 2013 15:04

Should the 10p tax rate be brought back? Should the top rate be higher, or lower? Can the personal allowance…

Deficit latest: Still £5 billion higher than last year

21 February 2013 12:51

Today’s borrowing figures show that the government had a surplus of £11.4 billion in January. But before we get too…