Coffee House

Eastleigh by-election live blog

1 March 2013

12:11 AM

1 March 2013

12:11 AM

12am: The word from the count is the Liberal Democrats have held Eastleigh. Intriguingly, the Liberal Democrats think UKIP have taken second. Labour appear set for a poor fourth.

If the Tories have come third with the Lib Dems holding the seat, David Cameron’s Tory critics will have a field-day tomorrow.

12.20am A source at the count tells Coffee House that UKIP appear to have won more votes today than any other party. But the Liberal Democrats will win thanks to their huge lead on postal votes

12.50am Tim Farron is trying to play down expectations. But revealingly he says that a Lib Dem win would be a game changer and boost their Budget bargaining power.


1am Sense from Eastleigh is that the Lib Dem majority tonight will be in the thousands not hundreds

1.10am Tories suggesting they might well still be second

1.45am Word from Eastleigh is a Lib Dem majority of close to 3,000 with UKIP beating the Tories for second by around 700 votes

2am Tories now seem to be accepting they are a thrd and by about a thousand votes

2.10 Those at the count speculating that the final numbers will be Lib Dems 32%, UKIP 28%, Tories 25%, and Labour 10%. If so, that’s a bad result for Cameron and Miliband

2.20am It’s official: Lib Dems hold, UKIP 2nd, Tories 3rd and Labour 4th
Liberal Democrats 13342
UKIP 11571
Tories 10559
Labour 40888

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Show comments
  • tomwhuxley


    • the viceroy’s gin

      A Freudian slip, from the bubble denizen.

  • Alexander McManus

    British people have had enough, the reason why UKIP are doing so well is because we want a party to leave the EUSSR and to look after the British people

    Sign this petition to restrict Bulgarian and Romanians from entering the UK:

    Over 62,000 at 100,00 it goes to Parliament

  • Russell

    The author may have wished labour got over 40,000 votes, but in the real world they were trounced and barely managed 4,000!!!!!!

  • Andrew Taylor

    What fascinates me is Prescott holding forth on Foxy’s sexual peccadilloes. Chutzpah or not!? And why didn’t Brillo hold his feet to the fire?

  • David Lindsay

    Forget Eastleigh. Forget Chris Rennard. John Prescott, Deputy Prime Minister at the time, has just told This Week that the war in Iraq was wrong. “I go over it in my head, trying to justify it. But it cannot be justified as an intervention.” Gosh!

  • Daniel Maris

    If the result is as you are indicating then it’s a good night for the Lib Dems and UKIP and a bad night for the Tories and Labour.

    In some ways I think it’s worse for Labour. Certainly parachuting in the washed up O’Farrell character was a bad move.

  • Earlshill

    I hope someone is going to validate this enormous LibDem postal vote. How can you have such a high percentage of postal votes when the writ for the by-election was only called three weeks ago?

    • Daniel Maris

      I don’t think you understand how postal votes work.

      • Earlshill

        I understand perfectly how they work. I’m just pointing out that, given that the LibDems hold every council seat, no doubt there will be rigorous objective oversight of the checking of all postal votes to ensure that they are valid and current voters in the constituency.

        • Daniel Maris

          That shows you don’t understand how the system works. If you are calling into question the register, well those concerns can apply equally to voting at the polling station.

  • the viceroy’s gin

    Let me guess.

    Call Me Dave’s spinmeisters will tell everybody that UKIP benefited from disgruntled Millipedal and LD voters, and that REAL conservatives voted for the Cameroonian candidate.

    • dalai guevara

      No vice dude, the vote on the right is split – forever more, ad infinitum. 2015 will lead to no referendum in 2017, so to infinity and beyond, in fact.

      • the viceroy’s gin

        Again, it’s the Left vote that’s split, as in LibLabCon… the three clones… with duplicate DNA.

        • dalai guevara

          The Down Syndrome of political stupidity manifests itself in the pursuit of the trickle down economic agenda. As the name implies, it will all drag us…down.

          • the viceroy’s gin

            Well, whichever direction is dragging destination of choice, the only certainly is that LibLabCon are all dragging toward it.